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Brazil: From Loved to Left Behind
Few assets have had a reversal in fortunes quite as severe as Brazilian equities over the past couple of months.…
Sentiment Ideas
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Track Record
One of my mantras is that sentiment analysis alone does not make an investment case.
But good sentiment analysis can…
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The Yang to Tech's Yin
For every Yin, there is a Yang.
For every asset where sentiment is becoming extremely bullish, there is usually another…
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Rational Rally
One of the biggest debates in markets right now is whether the equity market rally is a sign of rational…
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Tech Vulnerability
Technology has been the star performer as geopolitical tensions eased and the market’s focus returned to AI.
The rebound…
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Beyond Geopolitics
For the past two months, markets have traded one theme: the war with Iran.
It drove the sell-off. It…
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Tactical & Strategic Sentiment
A question that comes up regularly in client conversations is not whether sentiment works, but when it works.
Most investors…
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Prepare, Don't Predict
I don’t know about you, but I can’t forecast geopolitics. That’s exactly why I fall back on…
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Sentiment Ideas: US Dollar
The biggest sentiment reversal over the past year has been in FX — and specifically in the US Dollar.
The dollar…
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Sentiment Ideas: Consumer Discretionary
Deeply Unloved — But Is That Enough?
While much of the recent market conversation has focused on the rotation into Cyclicals,…
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Sentiment Ideas: Cyclicals, Room To Run
One of the clearest patterns in equity markets in recent months has been the rotation into economically sensitive stocks — Cyclicals.…