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Heatmap Update
After a week of geopolitics dominating the tape — and everyone suddenly becoming an expert on the Strait of Hormuz — it’…
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Sentiment Dashboard — March 2026
The fastest way to get a complete read on where investor sentiment stands — across 500+ indicators and 60+ asset classes.…
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Sentiment Ideas: Consumer Discretionary
Deeply Unloved — But Is That Enough?
While much of the recent market conversation has focused on the rotation into Cyclicals,…
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Cash allocations flashing orange
AAII Cash allocations have fallen again — and they’re now close to 25-year lows.
That’s the message from…
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Geopolitical Risk Index spikes to 600
Historically a buy signal.
That’s an extreme reading — and exactly the kind of moment when I lean on sentiment…
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Heatmap Update
Geopolitics is back — if it ever really went away. It’s difficult (borderline impossible) to have an edge in predicting…
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Max disagreement among sentiment surveys...or is it?
Last week I wrote about the mixed messages coming from three popular investor surveys. The latest prints have pushed the…
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ZEW Misunderstood
The ZEW Index of Economic Sentiment has a poor reputation among many investors — and I think that’s largely undeserved.…
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Heatmap Update
News flow has been anything but quiet — but US equities have mostly been going sideways. And sideways markets have a…
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3 Investor Surveys, 3 Messages?
II says everyone’s bullish, AAII says more Bears than Bulls and NAAIM is somewhere in the middle. Now what?…
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Sentiment Ideas: Cyclicals, Room To Run
One of the clearest patterns in equity markets in recent months has been the rotation into economically sensitive stocks — Cyclicals.…