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Sentiment Ideas: US Dollar
The biggest sentiment reversal over the past year has been in FX — and specifically in the US Dollar.
The dollar…
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New Indicator for Oil says 'sell'
I love finding a genuinely new sentiment series to add to the Sentiment Matters toolbox. So I was very happy…
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Heatmap Update
As we enter week three of the war with Iran, geopolitics is still driving headlines — and markets. From a “geopolitical…
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Buy Side Sentiment Tracker
March 2026 - Views from 47 top asset managers across 73 assets, based on 1,300+ individual views
Main takeaway…
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Surveys look more bearish than they are
The risk-off mood is reflected in the latest round of investor surveys. But there’s no buy signal from any…
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GPR stays extremely high
Geopolitical Risk Index is still at extremes — historically a buy signal.
The latest GPR data is still printing at very…
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Heatmap Update
After a week of geopolitics dominating the tape — and everyone suddenly becoming an expert on the Strait of Hormuz — it’…
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Sentiment Dashboard — March 2026
The fastest way to get a complete read on where investor sentiment stands — across 500+ indicators and 60+ asset classes.…
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Sentiment Ideas: Consumer Discretionary
Deeply Unloved — But Is That Enough?
While much of the recent market conversation has focused on the rotation into Cyclicals,…
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Cash allocations flashing orange
AAII Cash allocations have fallen again — and they’re now close to 25-year lows.
That’s the message from the…
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Geopolitical Risk Index spikes to 600
Historically a buy signal.
That’s an extreme reading — and exactly the kind of moment when I lean on sentiment…
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Heatmap Update
Geopolitics is back — if it ever really went away. It’s difficult (borderline impossible) to have an edge in predicting…