Mar 12, 2026 2 min read

Surveys look more bearish than they are

Surveys look more bearish than they are
Photo by Marcel Eberle / Unsplash

The risk-off mood is reflected in the latest round of investor surveys. But there’s no buy signal from any of them.

What the latest data says

AAII Bull–Bear

  • Latest reading sits at the 12thpercentile, with 14.4% more Bears than Bulls (most bearish since November).
  • Historically, that zone has been consistent with slightly above-average equity returns over the next 1, 3, 6 and 12 months.
    So yes, it sounds bearish — but as a signal it’s closer to neutral.

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